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US Dollar dips while gold on the rise

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Web Desk: Gold climbed to an unprecedented peak on Monday, extending a powerful rally as the U.S. dollar weakened, global equities advanced and investors reassessed currency strength, export competitiveness and geopolitical risk across major economies.

Spot gold rose more than 2% to trade above $5,100 an ounce after briefly touching a fresh all-time high, marking a decisive breakout that analysts say reflects a structural shift in global markets rather than a short-term spike.

At the same time, the dollar slid against major currencies, while Asian and European markets gained, underscoring a broader realignment in investor confidence and global capital flows.

Gold’s surge past the $5,000 threshold has forced banks and strategists to revise long-term forecasts upward. Analysts attribute the move to persistent central bank buying, heightened geopolitical uncertainty and growing doubts over the long-term stability of fiat currencies.

“As long as fiscal dominance, geopolitical fragmentation and questions around central bank credibility persist, precious metals are likely to remain at the core of portfolio protection,” said Daniela Hathorn, a senior market analyst at Capital.com.

Gold has gained nearly 18% this month alone, benefiting from rising demand for alternative stores of value as global politics and trade tensions reshape economic relationships.

The dollar index slipped about 0.2%, reflecting broad-based pressure as investors weighed geopolitical risks, falling U.S. Treasury yields and uncertainty ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision later this week.

The euro and sterling both advanced, while the Japanese yen strengthened sharply after volatility last week fueled speculation about potential currency intervention. The dollar fell more than 1% against the yen, retreating from recent highs.

Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note eased to around 4.20%, further reducing the dollar’s appeal and reinforcing demand for non-yielding assets such as gold.

Equity markets extended gains for a fourth consecutive session. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all advanced in early trading, supported by strength in the materials sector as higher gold prices boosted mining stocks.

Global shares, as measured by MSCI’s world index, rose about 0.7%, while Europe’s STOXX 600 also edged higher.

Investors are now bracing for earnings from major U.S. technology firms and the Federal Reserve’s policy statement, which is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged.

Beyond financial markets, shifting trade patterns are reinforcing the changing balance of economic power. China continues to demonstrate resilience in global exports, particularly in medium- and high-technology goods, despite years of tariffs, sanctions and trade restrictions.

Recent trade data show China expanding commerce with Southeast Asia and the Global South, strengthening its role in global supply chains for electric vehicles, renewable energy technologies and advanced manufacturing.

Economists say this reflects a broader reconfiguration of global trade rather than a retreat from globalization. Strategic competition has redirected trade flows rather than dismantling them, challenging long-held assumptions about liberal trade and economic coercion.

In contrast, Germany has experienced a sustained decline in export market share since 2017, driven largely by supply-side challenges in energy-intensive and high-tech sectors. Rising labor costs, energy shocks and competition from China have weighed heavily on Europe’s largest economy.

France and the United States, however, have managed to stabilize export performance in recent years, supported by favorable demand conditions and strength in energy and mineral products.

China’s export gains, meanwhile, have been partly offset by weaker global demand, resulting in relatively stable overall market share but continued dominance in key industrial sectors.

Analysts increasingly describe global trade as entering a geoeconomic phase, where efficiency is secondary to resilience and strategic control. Governments are now willing to accept higher costs to reduce vulnerability in supply chains, particularly in energy, technology and critical minerals.

This shift has benefited regions such as ASEAN, which has absorbed redirected investment flows, while also exposing emerging economies to new dependencies.

Against this backdrop, gold’s rally underscores its renewed role as a neutral reserve asset in a fragmented world. Central banks have continued to accumulate bullion, gradually reducing exposure to the U.S. dollar as geopolitical risk rises.

With conflicts in Eastern Europe and the Middle East ongoing, and trade tensions showing few signs of easing, investors say gold is no longer just a hedge against inflation it is increasingly viewed as protection against systemic uncertainty.

As currencies realign and global trade adapts to strategic rivalry, markets appear to be signaling a profound shift: confidence is migrating away from traditional anchors and toward assets seen as immune to politics, borders and debt.

Read more: State Bank keeps the interest rate unchanged

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